Inofungidzirwa nguva yekuverenga: 6 minuti
Maererano naHans Moravic , mazita e Moravic Paradox , marobhoti achave akangwara kana kuti kupfuura ungwaru hwevanhu panosvika 2040, uye pakupedzisira, semarudzi makuru, achangotichengetedza semiyuziyamu mhenyu kuti tikudze marudzi akaaita kuti avepo. .
Maonero ane tariro zvikuru ndeokuti njere dzevanhu, pamwe chete nezvishoma zvatinoziva pamusoro pekuziva, manzwiro, uye grey matter yedu, zvakasiyana chaizvo.
Saka nepo tekinoroji uye iyokungwara kwekunyepedzera inoshanduka uye inovandudza, ngatiedzei kuongorora mimwe misoro yekuti kuita sarudzo kwevanhu kunosiyana sei nemichina.
Kusarura kwacho kwakaoma, uye kupokana-kupokana kunoratidza kuti nzira dzinoshandiswa kuyedza "zvisina kunaka" uye zvisina musoro mhedzisiro dzinotadza kuverengera kune akawanda akakosha-chaiwo zvinhu.
Kana tikafunga sarudzo dzakakosha kana dzakakosha, dzakatorwa pasi pemamiriro ekusava nechokwadi kwakanyanya, uye pasi pemamiriro ekushushikana, kune zvisingaverengeki zvinovhiringidza zvakasiyana izvo zvatisingakwanisi kudzora.
Izvi zvinotanga kuunza mibvunzo yakawanda inonakidza…
Gary Klein , Gerd Gigerenzer , Phil Rosenzweig uye vamwe vanopikisa kuti zvinhu izvi zvinoita kuti tive vanhu vane chakavanzika chekuti tinoita sei zvisarudzo zvakaoma, zvakakosha zvikuru mumamiriro ekukurumidza, ane ruzivo rwakaderera.
Kuti zvive pachena, kune kupindirana kwakasimba uko misasa miviri inobvumirana. Muhurukuro ya2010 , Kahneman naKlein vakakakavadzana pfungwa mbiri idzi:
Uropi hwedu hunogonesa kushandiswa kwesimba. Vanopedza inenge 20% resimba ratinoburitsa muzuva (uye kufunga kuti Aristotle aifunga kuti basa rekutanga rehuropi raingova redhiyata rekuchengetedza moyo kubva pakupisa).
Kubva ipapo, kushandiswa kwesimba mukati mehuropi ibhokisi dema, asi tsvakiridzo inoratidza, kazhinji, mabasa anoda kugadziridzwa kwakawanda, senge yakaoma kugadzirisa dambudziko, kuita sarudzo, uye kushanda ndangariro, anowanzo kushandisa simba rakawanda pane mabasa anowanzoitika. kana kuti otomatiki, zvakadai sokufema uye kugaya.
Inoita izvi nekugadzira zvimiro zvezvinonzi naDaniel Kahneman "kufunga" system 1 “. Zvimiro izvi zvinoshandisa cognitive "shortcuts" (heuristics) kuita sarudzo dzinoshanda nesimba dzinoita sedzinoziva asi dzichibva pahwaro hwemabasa asingazive. Kana isu tichisimudza sarudzo dzinoda simba rekuziva, Kahneman anodana kufunga uku " system 2".
Kubva mubhuku raKahneman Kufunga, Kurumidza uye Kunonoka inonyanyozivikanwa yeNew York Times inotengeswa zvakanyanya, kusarura uye heuristics kunokanganisa kuita sarudzo - iyo intuition inowanzo kanganisa mukutonga kwevanhu.
Pane kupokana-kupokana kune rusaruro uye heuristic modhi yakatsanangurwa naKahneman naAmos Tversky, uye zvinoshoropodza chokwadi chekuti zvidzidzo zvavo zvakaitwa munzvimbo dzakadzorwa, dzakaita semurabhoritari nesarudzo dzine zvimwe mhedzisiro (zvinopesana nezvinowanzoitika. zvakaoma, zvinokonzeresa sarudzo dzatinoita muhupenyu nebasa).
Iyi misoro inowira zvakanyanya mu ecological-rational decision-making process uye Naturalistic (NDM). Muchidimbu, vanowanzopokana chinhu chimwe chete: Vanhu, vakashongedzerwa neizvi heuristics, kazhinji vanotsamira pakuzivikanwa-kwakavakirwa kuita sarudzo. Kuziva mapatani muzviitiko zvedu kunotibatsira kuita sarudzo nekukurumidza uye zvinobudirira mumamiriro ezvinhu aya ane njodzi uye asina chokwadi.
Vanhu vakanaka zvakakwana pakuwedzera ruzivo rudiki mumhando dzekuita sarudzo zvichienderana nezvakaitika kwatiri - kunyangwe kana kwete kutonga kwatinoita, pachedu, zvine musoro - tine kugona uku kuronga.
Somuvambi we Kudzika mukati, Demis Hassabis, mubvunzurudzo naLex Friedman, sezvo masisitimu akangwara aya anowedzera kungwara, zvinova nyore kunzwisisa chinoita kuti kuziva kwevanhu kuve kwakasiyana.
Panoratidzika kunge paine chinhu chakadzika midzi pamusoro pechishuwo chedu chekunzwisisa ” Sei ", nzwisisa zvinoreva, ita uine chivimbo, kurudzira uye pamwe zvakanyanya kukosha, shandira pamwe sechikwata.
“Ungwaru hwevanhu hwakanyanya kuburitswa kunze, husiri muuropi hwako asi mubudiriro yako. Funga nezvevanhu sezvishandiso, vane huropi mamodules ehurongwa hwekuziva akakura kupfuura ivo, hurongwa huri kuzvivandudza uye hwave kwenguva yakareba. —Erik J. Larson Nhema dzeArtificial Intelligence: Nei Makomputa Asingakwanisi Kufunga Sesu
Nepo makore makumi mashanu apfuura akaita nhanho huru mukunzwisisa maitire atinoita sarudzo, hungave hungwaru hwekugadzira, kuburikidza neganhuriro dzahwo, hunofumura zvakawanda pamusoro pesimba rekuziva kwevanhu.
Kana kuti hunhu hunozove Tamagotchi wemarobhoti edu makuru…
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